Gas Furnace Replacement Cost by Size (2026)
| Furnace Size (Input BTU) | Pairs With | Typical Installed | 2026 Range (standard tier) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40,000 - 60,000 BTU | 1.5 - 2 ton coil | $4,200 | $3,700 - $4,700 |
| 60,000 - 80,000 BTU | 2.5 ton coil | $4,400 | $3,900 - $5,000 |
| 80,000 BTU | 3 ton coil | $4,700 | $4,100 - $5,200 |
| 80,000 - 100,000 BTU | 3.5 ton coil | $4,900 | $4,300 - $5,500 |
| 100,000 BTU | 4 ton coil | $5,100 | $4,500 - $5,700 |
| 120,000 BTU | 5 ton coil | $5,600 | $4,900 - $6,200 |
All figures are installed prices at the standard tier (80% AFUE single-stage) and national-average labor - equipment, labor, permit, and disposal of the old furnace. Not sure which input-BTU size your home needs? Run the numbers through the furnace size calculator first - paying to install an oversized furnace is the most common (and most expensive) mistake in heating quotes.
Furnace Installation Cost: What's Included in an Installed Price
A quoted furnace installation cost should always cover four things: the equipment itself, labor (typically a one-day job for a like-for-like swap), the mechanical permit, and haul-away of the old unit. What moves the number beyond that is scope. Reusing existing gas line, venting, and ductwork keeps you in the base ranges above. A first-time installation - or a fuel switch - adds gas-line work and flue or PVC venting. And ductwork is the biggest wildcard of all: sealing and minor modifications add about $2,000, while a full duct replacement adds $6,500 or more. Select the matching ductwork condition in the calculator to see your total with those line items included.
Efficiency tier is the other lever. Stepping an 80,000 BTU furnace from 80% AFUE single-stage to a 96% AFUE two-stage model moves the installed price from about $4,100-$5,200 to $4,900-$6,200; a modulating 97%+ unit runs $5,900-$7,600. Cold-climate homes usually earn that premium back in fuel savings; mild-winter homes often don't.
Why Furnace Quotes Range from $3,000 to $10,000+ for the Same House
Collect three furnace quotes and you'll likely see numbers that differ by thousands for essentially the same job - and the equipment is rarely the reason. The biggest driver is company overhead: contractors who publish their pricing on camera quote entry-level single-stage installs anywhere from about $3,000-$4,900 at lean operations to $6,000-$8,000 at large fleet companies with showrooms and ad budgets - and homeowners regularly report paying under $3,000 at small two-truck shops. The furnace inside is often the same tier.
The rest of the spread comes from brand positioning (premium labels run 10-20% over mid-tier for similar hardware), scope add-ons (ductwork, a new gas line, venting changes, or bundled air-quality upgrades), and region. This calculator prices a mid-tier brand at your selected labor market (every constant is published in our cost model methodology), so treat it as the fair-price anchor: quotes far below it deserve a scope check (what's missing?), and quotes far above it deserve an overhead question (what am I paying for?). Get at least one bid from a smaller local operator alongside the big names, and before signing anything check what's left in 2026 HVAC rebates and tax credits - the federal 25C credit is gone, but utility and state programs still knock real money off high-efficiency furnaces.
Furnace Repair Cost Calculator: Repair or Replace?
Before pricing a replacement, sanity-check the repair route with the $5,000 rule: multiply the repair quote by your furnace's age in years - over $5,000, replace; under, repair. The two furnace repairs that most often trigger replacement:
| Repair | 2026 Cost | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Blower motor | $450 - $1,500 | variable-speed motors at the high end |
| Furnace heat exchanger | $2,000 - $3,500 | usually means replace the furnace |
Smaller fixes - igniters, flame sensors, control boards - usually favor repair on any furnace under 12-15 years old. Need the AC side too? See the full 2026 repair-price table covering capacitors, coils, and compressors.
Replacing the AC Too?
If your air conditioner is a similar age, price the combined job before committing to a furnace-only swap - doing both at once saves about 10% through shared labor and a single permit. The furnace and AC replacement cost calculator prices full combo systems, heat pumps, and mini splits, and the central air installation cost calculator handles AC-only jobs. This calculator, like all our tools, is pure math - no lead forms, no contractor calls, just the number you need before collecting quotes.